Quant intraday signals
Systematic intraday entries from the strategy research already running on real money, published the same way the level signals are: entry only, with the evidence attached.
BTC · live
Know your risk before you enter.
Levelflow publishes Bitcoin entry signals: the level, an alert while price is still on its way to it, and how far price has typically gone against you from there. On a TIGHT signal the median worst move against the entry, in the 15 minutes after it fires, has been 20.0 bp (0.20%). When it is WIDE, it has been 24.9 bp (0.25%).
No cherry-picked wins and no quiet deletions. Every signal is written to the journal as it fires, scored an hour later, and stays there — the losses with the rest.
- 844 touches scored
- 2026-07-23 → 2026-10-16
- Recorded forward, not backtested
- Recomputed nightly
Right now
TIGHT
Calm tape — small move against you expected.
- Median worst adverse move, 15 min
- 20.0 bp
- Held within 20 bp
- 50.0%
0.20%
256 touches · 2026-07-23..2026-10-16
Confirms conditions, not direction.
What each grade has been worth
| Grade | Median adverse move @15m | vs baseline | Held ≤20 bp | Touches | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIGHT | 20.0 bp 0.20% | -3.3 bp | 50.0% | 256 | 2026-07-23 → 2026-10-16 |
| NORMAL | 25.6 bp 0.26% | +2.3 bp | 41.9% | 260 | 2026-07-24 → 2026-10-16 |
| WIDE | 24.9 bp 0.25% | +1.6 bp | 42.9% | 310 | 2026-07-27 → 2026-10-15 |
| ALL TOUCHES | 23.3 bp 0.23% | — | 45.5% | 844 | 2026-07-23 → 2026-10-16 |
The grade is the edge. A TIGHT read has cut the typical move against the entry by 14% against the ALL TOUCHES row — which is what a touch does when you know nothing about the tape. A grade is worth exactly the distance between its row and that one, and no more.
Available now
The Confirmation Signal
You are alerted while price is still on its way to the level, so you have time to decide rather than react. Every alert carries the level, the side price arrived from, and the move to expect against the entry — in Telegram or your own webhook, as it happens.
- Levels published before price reaches them
- The typical move against you in the next 15 minutes, with its sample size
- Telegram and signed webhook delivery
- Every figure recomputed nightly from the live forward journal
- Worst adverse
- 0.9 bp
- 0.01%
- Best in favour
- 152.0 bp
- 1.52%
- Held +60m
- 140.3 bp
- 1.40%
Top 4% of 257 TIGHT signals
- Worst adverse
- 0.8 bp
- 0.01%
- Best in favour
- 171.8 bp
- 1.72%
- Held +60m
- 171.8 bp
- 1.72%
Top 4% of 261 NORMAL signals
- Worst adverse
- 33.2 bp
- 0.33%
- Best in favour
- 207.4 bp
- 2.07%
- Held +60m
- 52.3 bp
- 0.52%
Top 59% of 310 WIDE signals
- Worst adverse
- 0.1 bp
- 0.00%
- Best in favour
- 115.6 bp
- 1.16%
- Held +60m
- 23.6 bp
- 0.24%
Top 2% of 257 TIGHT signals
Recorded signals, out-of-sample. The line is the published level, the dot is the moment the alert fired. See the full record.
Available now · Pro Quant
Initial Balance
The first hour of the US session sets a high and a low. The minute it closes, we publish the odds that each one survives to the close, and the level each side is most likely to reach, straight onto your chart.
- Odds for both sides the minute the first hour closes
- The level each side is most likely to reach, drawn from there
- Faint lines where a side is likely to give way
- Scored against every session since Jan 2018
Called at 80% or more to hold, the first-hour extreme has held 86% of the time, across 145 calls.
- First-hour high
- 84% held
- → prior close 50%: not reached
- First-hour low
- 5% broke
- → lvl −2 54%: reached
Top 3% of 250 recent weekday sessions
Available now · Pro Quant
Options Flow
Two resistance lines, read live from the options market and redrawn as positioning shifts: a primary line that price tends to react to within the half hour, and a secondary line that works over the hours after.
- Both lines on the Terminal chart, one toggle
- Recorded minute by minute, never redrawn later
- Every first touch scored against what price did next
- Compared with any minute of the same days
After a first touch of the primary line, price has been lower 30 minutes later 64% of the time, across 111 touches. At any minute of the same days: 50%.
- After 15 min
- 55.5 bp lower
- 0.56% lower
- After 30 min
- 45.4 bp lower
- 0.45% lower
- After 1 h
- 72.2 bp lower
- 0.72% lower
Top 6% of 111 first touches of this line
In the lab
Regime
One screen for the state of the tape. Every input we already compute — liquidity, positioning, dealer gamma, volatility and trend — reads as a single strip through time, so you can see whether the last hour is ordinary for this market or nothing like it.
- Five families, each with its own summary line
- Green orderly, red stressed, blank where a source was not live
- Read as a z-score, a percentile, or a plain state
- Marked moments where the tape changed character
It runs internally today. Like everything else here it ships only once it has a forward record of its own.
In the lab
What we are building next
Each of these is real research we already run internally. None of them ship until they have a forward record, because that is the only thing we sell.
Watch it for as long as you like before you pay anything.
The free plan carries the live grade on every touch. No card, no call — just an email address, and the same journal you have been reading.